April 2026 Macro Agent Advisor

Generated: 2026-07-24 17:08 · Sample filter: from 2023-01 · Scope: latest available public-API values

Bottom line

Most indicators softened versus the prior reading; the repair slope has slowed—watch demand and prices together.

By sector

Sentiment

  • Official manufacturing PMI at 50.30; fell from prior (50.40) by 0.10, in expansion territory.

  • Official non-manufacturing PMI at 49.40; fell from prior (50.10) by 0.70, in contraction territory.

Consumption & employment

  • Retail sales YoY at 0.2%; fell from prior (1.7%) by 1.5 ppt

Investment

  • FAI YoY at -12.0%; fell from prior (-1.1%) by 10.9 ppt

  • Manufacturing FAI cumulative YoY at 1.2%; fell from prior (4.1%) by 2.9 ppt

Real estate

  • Real estate investment cumulative YoY at -13.7%; fell from prior (-11.2%) by 2.5 ppt; the property chain is still in negative growth.

  • Commodity housing sales area cumulative YoY at -10.2%; rose from prior (-10.4%) by 0.2 ppt; the property chain is still in negative growth.

Supply

  • Industrial value-added YoY at 4.1%; fell from prior (5.7%) by 1.6 ppt

Trade

  • Exports YoY at 14.0%; rose from prior (2.5%) by 11.5 ppt

  • Imports YoY at 25.2%; fell from prior (28.3%) by 3.1 ppt

Prices

  • CPI YoY at 1.2%; up from prior (1.0%) by 0.2 ppt

  • PPI YoY at 2.8%; up from prior (0.5%) by 2.3 ppt

Finance

  • M2 YoY at 8.6%; up from prior (8.5%) by 0.1 ppt

  • Social financing increase at 6245亿元; fell from prior (5.22万亿元) by 4.60万亿元

  • New RMB loans MoM YoY at -553.2%; fell from prior (-17.6%) by 535.6 ppt

Fiscal

  • Fiscal revenue MoM YoY at 6.7%; fell from prior (6.9%) by 0.2 ppt

Cross-checks

  • PPI (2.8%) is not below CPI (1.2%); watch cost pass-through into final prices.

  • Exports YoY 14.0%, imports YoY 25.2%; imports more resilient / external demand softer.

  • M2 YoY 8.6%, social financing 6245亿元; check whether credit growth matches the quantity signal.

  • Industrial value-added YoY 4.1%, manufacturing PMI 50.3; output and survey sentiment can cross-validate.

Watch next month

  • Prices: can CPI/PPI improve together, avoiding “stable volume, weak prices”?

  • Property: do sales and investment cumulative YoY converge; do funding sources stabilise?

  • Credit: social financing / loan mix (corporate vs household) and pass-through to the real economy.

  • External demand: do exports YoY and shipping gauges (e.g. BDI) move together?

Data snapshot

Sector Indicator Latest Prior Change
Consumption & employment Retail sales YoY 0.2% 1.7% -1.5pt
Investment FAI YoY -12.0% -1.1% -10.9pt
Investment Manufacturing FAI cumulative YoY 1.2% 4.1% -2.9pt
Real estate Real estate investment cumulative YoY -13.7% -11.2% -2.5pt
Real estate Commodity housing sales area cumulative YoY -10.2% -10.4% +0.2pt
Supply Industrial value-added YoY 4.1% 5.7% -1.6pt
Prices CPI YoY 1.2% 1.0% +0.2pt
Prices PPI YoY 2.8% 0.5% +2.3pt
Finance M2 YoY 8.6% 8.5% +0.1pt
Finance Social financing increase 6245亿元 5.22万亿元 -45995
Finance New RMB loans MoM YoY -553.2% -17.6% -535.6pt
Trade Exports YoY 14.0% 2.5% +11.5pt
Trade Imports YoY 25.2% 28.3% -3.1pt
Sentiment Official manufacturing PMI 50.30 50.40 -0.10
Sentiment Official non-manufacturing PMI 49.40 50.10 -0.70
Fiscal Fiscal revenue MoM YoY 6.7% 6.9% -0.2pt

Disclaimer

This page is auto-generated by MeShare Agent from public interfaces to aid reading the Data Dictionary / Charts Gallery. It does not constitute investment advice. Source revisions or release lags may briefly desync the brief from the latest prints; see the Data Dictionary for fetch details and definitions.